Risk

What is Win rate?

By the verify.trading team · Last reviewed · How we write

Win rate is the share of your trades that close in profit. It says nothing about how big the wins and losses are.

Key points

  • Wins divided by total trades.
  • Meaningless without average win and loss.
  • Needs a decent sample size.

Win rate explained

A strategy with a 40% win rate can be profitable if its winners are larger than its losers, and a 70% win rate can lose money if the losers are much bigger. That is why win rate and risk to reward are always judged together.

A win rate is only meaningful over a large enough sample of trades, and a journal is the way to measure it honestly.

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